Six by-elections, a new federal budget, and shifting political dynamics south of the border. What do they mean for Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government and Canada’s political future?

In this episode of GovGurus, hosts Lori Turnbull, Editor-in-Chief of Canadian Government Executive Media, and J. Richard Jones have a timely discussion on the political forces shaping Ottawa’s agenda and Canada’s relationship with the United States.

With six federal by-elections scheduled for December 7, the Liberals have an opportunity to strengthen their parliamentary majority and provide additional breathing room for their legislative priorities. But what could the results mean for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and the broader political landscape?

The conversation also examines Budget 2026, including the government’s focus on business investment, targeted affordability measures, and the expanded groceries and essentials benefit. Are these initiatives enough to address Canadians’ cost-of-living concerns, or is the middle class being left behind?

Beyond Parliament Hill, Jones and Turnbull explore former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s new role at Oxford University and the value of drawing on the experience of former political leaders.

The discussion then turns south, where the aftermath of the U.S. midterm elections raises new questions about President Donald Trump’s political standing, Canada–U.S. trade negotiations, and the potential to rebuild relations between the two countries.

In this episode:

  • The political stakes of six upcoming federal by-elections.
  • How Budget 2026 balances economic growth, government spending and affordability.
  • Why targeted financial benefits may leave some middle-class Canadians wanting more.
  • Justin Trudeau’s move to Oxford University and the role of former political leaders.
  • The implications of the U.S. midterm elections for Canada’s trade negotiations and bilateral relationship.

Will Carney’s growing political advantage translate into lasting stability, and can Canada navigate an increasingly unpredictable relationship with Washington?

Join Lori Turnbull and J. Richard Jones for another insightful edition of GovGurus, where Canadian politics, public policy and the decisions shaping the country’s future take centre stage.